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<span class="ydpaab3bc7atimestamp" data-localize-time="" data-epoch-time="1625771299000" data-time-zone="-0700" data-time-format="%A %B %d, %Y">Thursday July 08, 2021</span>
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Winter
chinook salmon struggle to survive in relatively warm water conditions
below Keswick Dam. Photo courtesy of San Francisco Baykeeeper
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<p><span><span><span><span><span><span><span>On July 6, the California
Department of Fish and Wildlife published an update on the status of
federally and state protected winter-run Chinook salmon that warns “it
is possible that nearly all in-river juveniles will not survive this
season” as the cold water pool in Lake Shasta is depleted earlier than
modeled because of <span><span>increased downstream water deliveries during the hot weather.</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span>The winter-run
Chinook salmon is listed as “endangered” under both the federal
Endangered Species Act (ESA) and the California Endangered Species Act
(CESA). The once abundant sub-species of salmon declined from a high of
117,000 in 1969 to 200 fish in 1991.</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span>Previous reports from
the CDFW documented a large mass of winter run Chinook in stressed
condition below Keswick Dam, including adult fish dying before spawning
in the relatively warm water conditions.</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span>The update states: </span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><em><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span>“7-6-21-
Continued hot weather above 100 degrees for periods in late May, early
June and past two weeks continuously will lead to depletion of cold
water pool in Shasta Lake sooner than modeled earlier in season. This
hot weather is leading to more demand downstream for water (flows from
Keswick from 8,500 to 9,250 on July 4th). Previously modeled season
long cold water availability scenarios used steady flows in the 7500 cfs
range from Keswick. Those earlier scenarios had very high expected
juvenile mortality due to warm water later in Aug-Oct that would be
lethal to incubating eggs and alevins in the gravel. This persistent
heat dome over the West Coast will likely result in earlier loss of
ability to provide cool water and <strong>subsequently it is possible that nearly all in-river juveniles will not survive this season.</strong>
Counts of carcasses continue to indicate a large run of winter-run
this year. Unspawned fresh females for the season are 71 with an overall
percentage of 12.3% of all fresh females this season were unspawned.”</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></em></p>
<p>The link to the update is here: <a href="https://www.calfish.org/ProgramsData/ConservationandManagement/CentralValleyMonitoring/CDFWUpperSacRiverBasinSalmonidMonitoring.aspx" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.calfish.org/ProgramsData/ConservationandManagement/CentralValleyMonitoring/CDFWUpperSacRiverBasinSalmonidMonitoring.aspx</a><span>) </span></p>
<p><span>While the CDFW attributes the potential loss of </span>nearly<span> all juvenile winter-run chinook this year to the hot weather </span><span>and the “</span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span>persistent
heat dome,” representatives of fishing and environmental groups
attribute the dismal situation of the winter Chinook to state and
federal mismanagement of water. </span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p>“This is EXACTLY what we warned the State Water Resources Control
Board (SWRCB) about when we spoke on the precarious condition of
Sacramento River winter run at their meeting in April,” said Mike
Conroy, Executive Director of the Pacific Coast Federation of
Fishermen’s Associations. “While I appreciate the deflection and trying
to blame the weather - this is most assuredly NOT about hot weather.”</p>
<p>“Our government officials have generally been failing to provide
adequate conditions (or even meet their own plan) since spawning began.
This is negligence and incompetence by those in power,” stated Conroy. </p>
<p>Likewise, John McManus, President of the Golden State Salmon Association, blamed government inaction for this looming disaster.</p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span>"Californians
should be alerted that the extinction of a native salmon run is underway
right now as a result of government inaction to stop it,” said McManus.
“State and federal water managers have apparently decided it's
politically inconvenient to reroute short water supplies to prevent
extinction if it means a few less acres of crops.”</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span>“We're losing
winter run salmon right now and the fall run salmon that supply the
sport and commercial fisheries will be decimated too. Californians who
care about the environment need to hold government officials accountable
for allowing the loss of the state's natural resources on their watch,”
said McManus. </span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p><span>Despite the winter run’s protected status under state and
federal laws, the Sacramento River mainstem winter run Chinook salmon
escapement (1970-1974 v. 2015-2019) has declined 91.0 percent, according
to Bill Jennings, Executive Director and Chairman of the California
Sportfishing Protection Alliance (CSPA).<span><span><span><span><span><span><span><span> </span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p>And despite the winter run’s protected status, the State Water
Resources Control Board continues to approve the delivery of millions of
acre-feet of water to state and federal water contractors during a
record drought. </p>
<p>On June 1, fishing and environmental groups submitted an emergency
water management plan to the State Water Resources Control Board as an
alternative to the controversial Bureau of Reclamation water temperature
management plan approved this spring, but the Board continues to
support the Bureau’s plan.</p>
<p>Drafted by the California Sportfishing Protection Alliance (CSPA),
the California Water Impact Network (CWIN), and Save California Salmon
(SCS), the plan would significantly reduce salmon-killing high
temperature water releases from Shasta and Trinity reservoirs. It would
also protect carryover storage in the event of another dry year. <strong> </strong></p>
<p>This plan would reduce Sacramento River water temperatures and significantly increase salmon survival in the following ways:</p>
<p>1. Limit June-through-October releases from Shasta-Keswick dams to
5,000 cfs (cubic feet per second), using Shasta’s cold-water pool to
maintain Keswick releases at less than 54oF.</p>
<p>2. Eliminate June-through-October use of the Spring Creek power tunnel between Whiskeytown and Keswick reservoirs.</p>
<p>3. Maintain June-through-October flows of 300 cfs to Whiskeytown
Reservoir through the Carr powerhouse, increase June-October releases to
Clear Creek to 300 cfs, and increase June- October releases from
Trinity-Lewiston dams to the lower Trinity River to 800-870 cfs.</p>
<p>Then on June 30, a coalition of Delta-based groups sent a formal <a href="https://restorethedelta.us3.list-manage.com/track/click?u=06887fa70084fef8e939fef63&id=271ef43506&e=120d0c2b69" title="" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Petition for Reconsideration</a>
to the State Water Board opposing the Board’s June 1 order to relax
water quality standards for Delta operations of the Central Valley
Project and the State Water Project. The Temporary Urgency Change Order
(TUCO) was issued by the Water Board on June 1, 2021.</p>
<p><strong>The coalition’s <a href="https://restorethedelta.us3.list-manage.com/track/click?u=06887fa70084fef8e939fef63&id=fa1b94d4ad&e=120d0c2b69" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">petition</a>
reveals that 4.5 million acre-feet of water will be delivered to state
and federal water contractors (including about 10 percent for Central
Valley wildlife refuges), based on Water Board information. The Board’s
action will only add another 3 percent in water savings to put toward
protecting salmon and the Delta, “a miserly allocation,” said the
petition for reconsideration.</strong></p>
</div>
<div>
<div>
<div>
<p><em>Background: Massive amounts of water exported from the Delta from 2010 to 2020</em></p>
<div>
<div>
<p>The poor water management by the Department of Water Resources and
the Bureau of Reclamation that has exacerbated drought water conditions,
resulting in the deaths of many winter-run Chinook salmon below Keswick
Dam before spawning this year so far, is revealed in my analysis of
water exports out of the Delta for the past decade.</p>
<p>In 8 out of the past 10 years, the combined water exports from the
state and federal water projects have exceeded the 3 million acre feet
annual export figure that many believe to be the maximum amount of water
that can be exported from the Delta without destroying the ecosystem
and harming fish species.</p>
<p>In every water year except two, 2014 and 2015, the state and federal
projects exported well over 3 million acre feet of water from the Delta.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>The 3 million acre feet cap of water exports in all years is a key
recommendation of the Environmental Water Caucus (EWC) updated solutions
plan titled <a href="http://www.ewccalifornia.org/reports/EWC_WATER_PLAN-Revised_2018.pdf" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">“A Sustainable Water Plan for California.”</a></p>
<p>In fact, 2011 was the all time record export year with 6.67 million
acre feet of water diverted from the Delta, followed closely behind by
the 6.46 million acre feet exported in 2017. 2018 saw 4.62 million acre
feet exported from the Delta, while 2019 saw 5.3 million acre feet
exported and 2020 saw 3.65 million acre feet exported: <a href="https://viewperformance.deltacouncil.ca.gov/pm/water-exports" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://viewperformance.deltacouncil.ca.gov/pm/water-exports</a>.</p>
<p>Due to the projected poor water conditions in the Sacramento and its
tributaries this year, all of the juvenile chinook salmon (smolts) from
state fish hatcheries were trucked to saltwater this spring to increase
their survival. </p>
<p>“If you don’t conserve enough water to maintain carryover storage to
enable successful spawning and outmigration of salmon in a drought, then
the CDFW has to truck the fish downriver to the bay so that fish are
able to survive,” said Bill Jennings, chairman and executive director of
the California Sportfishing Protection Alliance (CSPA): <a href="https://www.recordnet.com/story/sports/2021/05/04/california-drought-16-8-million-young-hatchery-salmon-get-truck-rides-san-francisco-bay/4941501001/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">www.recordnet.com/...</a></p>
<p><em>Below is the chart with the annual exports and the 15 year average. All of the figures are in million acre feet:</em></p>
<div class="ydpaab3bc7atable-wrapper">
<table class="yahoo-compose-table-card" width="695">
<thead>
<tr>
<td>
<p><strong>Year</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>Annual Export</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p><strong>15 Year Average</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2010</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.773481183</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>5.368112135</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2011</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>6.678547642</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>5.453433578</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2012</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.971327374</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>5.441023876</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2013</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.270590543</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>5.405164312</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2014</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>2.037482936</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>5.216134646</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2015</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>1.939412746</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.921947348</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2016</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3.508986048</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.814769057</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2017</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>6.463958728</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.87413627</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2018</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.6</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.758666667</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2019</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>5.344226</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.705860648</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p>2020</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>3.655797327</p>
</td>
<td>
<p>4.518263237</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<p>For more information, see: <a href="https://viewperformance.deltacouncil.ca.gov/pm/water-exports" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">viewperformance.deltacouncil.ca.gov/…</a></p>
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