[env-trinity] FW: OSU News Release - California Central Valley Salmon Future

[Kier Associates]

Should anyone be interested, the breakdown by occupation of the 26
individuals who participated in the Franks-Lackey survey is as follows:

Current Federal: 7

Retired Federal: 1

Current State: 3

Retired State: 3

University System: 5

NGO/Other: 7

 

I promised Ms. Franks that I would provide her my take on the several
questions, but have failed so far to do so.

It would be interesting, of course, to have survey results from an even
larger population of experts

Bill Kier

From: env-trinity [mailto:env-trinity-bounces at velocipede.dcn.davis.ca.us] On
Behalf Of Sari Sommarstrom
Sent: Tuesday, May 19, 2015 9:01 AM
To: env-trinity at velocipede.dcn.davis.ca.us
Subject: [env-trinity] FW: OSU News Release - California Central Valley
Salmon Future

Bleak Future for Central Valley Wild Salmon

 

            In a recently published paper by Sierra Franks and Robert Lackey
of Oregon State University, most surveyed fisheries experts concluded that
by 2100 wild salmon in the California Central Valley will be extirpated or
minimally abundant if current trends continue.  The experts provided their
candid assessments with a promise of complete and permanent anonymity.
Despite restoration efforts spanning decades and involving large
expenditures, runs of wild salmon in the Central Valley continue to decline.
The causes of the decline are many and have been well studied.   Given the
most probable policy and ecological scenarios (i.e. effects of continued
harvest, continued stocking from hatcheries, changing climate, continued
human population growth and associated demands for scarce water resources)
and based on expert judgment by fisheries experts, Franks and Lackey
projected the most likely future of wild salmon runs in the Central Valley
in 2100 and it is not promising.  The paper was published in the current
issue of  <http://escholarship.org/uc/item/3vt5z15p> San Francisco Estuary
and Watershed Science and is available for free download.

 

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Web Link:      <http://escholarship.org/uc/item/3vt5z15p>
http://escholarship.org/uc/item/3vt5z15p

 

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